"If the ISM report is better than expected, it could add to revived
tapering expectations, and U.S. yields and the dollar could go up and
stocks could go down," said Masashi Murata, senior currency strategist
at Brown Brothers Harriman in Tokyo.Data on Thursday showed the pace of
business activity in the U.S. Midwest jumped more than expected in
October, while jobless claims decline in the latest week,alligator shear
soothing some worries about sluggish fourth-quarter growth after last
month's federal government shutdown.Still, not all investors or
economists were convinced that the latest U.S. data heralded a shift in
monetary policy expectations.
"The existence of noise in the October data will likely make it
difficult for the Fed to gather enough evidence to start tapering in
December," strategists at Barclays wrote in a note to clients, adding
that they still to expect the central bank to begin reducing its current
$85 billion monthly bond purchases in March 2014.The U.S. data
pressured emerging market currencies, with the Indian rupee and
Indonesian rupiah leading slides.The euro remained under pressure after
plunging in the previous session as euro-zone inflation dropped to its
lowest rate in nearly four years,alligator shear sharpening expectations that the European Central Bank, in contrast to the Fed, will further ease its monetary policy.
The single currency dropped about 0.2 percent to $1.3555, moving away
from a two-year peak of $1.3833 set one week ago. On Thursday, it
suffered its biggest one-day fall against the greenback in six months,
tumbling 1.1 percent.Data on Thursday showed euro-area inflation slowed
to a four-year low of 0.7 percent last month, far below the ECB's target
of just under 2 percent. Other data showed unemployment held at record
highs in September.The dollar index .DXY,skin analyzer
which measures the greenback against six major currencies, was on track
for a sixth session of gains, rising about 0.1 percent to 80.305 after
touching a two-week peak of 80.418 and pulling further away from a
nine-month trough of 78.998 hit one week ago.Against the Japanese
currency, the dollar was about 0.4 percent lower on the day at 97.91
yen.In commodities trading, gold steadied but was still trading close to
its lowest in nearly two weeks, hurt by sharp losses in the previous
session from month-end profit-taking, the strong U.S. economic data and
the higher dollar.
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